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Intel and Micron Introduce 25nm NAND, Gain Competitive Edge, Says Objective Analysis

In an effort to remain a full process node ahead of other NAND flash manufacturers, Intel and Micron yesterday announced that the companies' IMFT joint venture has now introduced a 25nm 64Gb MLC NAND chip. This translates to 8 gigabytes on a single chip. With a die size of 167mm² the device can fit into a standard TSOP package, according to semiconductor industry analyst Jim Handy at Objective Analysis.

Reprinted with permission from Objective Analysis

"At a die size of 167mm² a 300mm fab should be able to manufacture just over 400 dice per wafer," writes Handy. "This gives a manufacturing cost of about $4.00 per chip, or $0.50/GB. Compare this to a more common 45nm MLC NAND on a 300mm line which should cost about $1.75/GB. Since the price of NAND flash has been hovering around $2.00/GB for the past year, and seems poised to continue at that price through 2010, the 25nm process will give the companies a significant margin boost over their current 34nm chip whose cost we estimate at $1.00/GB."

Handy said the companies made it very clear that they do not plan to drive prices down to follow cost. Instead, he expects Micron and Intel to continue to charge market prices and simply pocket larger margins than can their competition.

Both companies are currently sampling to select customers and controller makers. Both also remarked that this was one further step that would help bring SSDs into the mainstream.

The companies point out that they entered the market with a 72nm technology in 2006, which they believe was about 2 years behind their competition, but caught up and surpassed these competitors by as much as a year with the 34nm part, and are maintaining this leadership by migrating to 25nm at the same time that some of their competitors are ramping their 30nm-generation processes.

Not only will this new process allow Micron and Intel to profit more than their competition, but it also allows them to squeeze more gigabyte production out of their Lehi and Manassas lines before having to equip their new fab in Singapore.

About the market research report and alert

Those who want to have a better understanding of the derivation of the numbers above and how the NAND market behaves should look into the Objective Analysis report: Understanding the NAND Market, which can be found at the link below.

Contact Objective Analysis for information about its free alert bulletins.

About Objective Analysis

OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry. Founded by leading industry experts, Objective Analysis provides excellence in market data, reviews of technology, analysis, and custom consulting.

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Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis is a semiconductor market research and business consulting firm covering all aspects of the semiconductor market, from production through marketing and end-equipment demand. The company specializes in independent, third-party data, strategy, and analysis for end-equipment manufacturers, ...more »

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